Se confirma que es un error en el tratamiento de datos, cuya velocidad rondaría en realidad los 509 km/segundo; ni el GEOSTAT ha sido activado. Aquí la previsión de NOAA para mañana que prácticamente descarta la probabilidad de tormentas geomagnéticas incluso menor como corresponde con la medición corregida.
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2014 Mar 29 2200 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 88 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Mar 2014
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to
29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
29/1748Z from Region 2017 (N10W34). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(30 Mar, 31 Mar, 01 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 450 km/s at 29/0321Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 28/2127Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 29/0203Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (30 Mar, 31 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day three (01 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (30 Mar, 31 Mar, 01 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 30 Mar-01 Apr
Class M 55/55/55
Class X 20/20/20
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Mar-01 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Minor Storm 15/15/30
Major-severe storm 05/05/35